To power a regime of environment friendly, uninterrupted electrical energy provide, the facility sector was privatised in 2013. However, seven years after, there has not been any vital enchancment in electrical energy provide, regardless of spending N1.Eight trillion on the facility sector since 2015. Nigeria presently generates 3,400 Megawatts (MW) of electrical energy, down from over 4,000 MW previous to privatisation. This falls wanting about 150,000MW required to assist full industrialisation and reboot the financial system publish COVID-19. This has prompted renewed agitation for a evaluate of privatisation. Assistant Editor CHIKODI OKEREOCHA experiences
THE Minister of Data and Tradition, Alh. Lai Mohammed, not too long ago sought to revive, albeit unsuccessfully, the waned hopes of Nigerians that the Federal Authorities would ultimately make good its promise to ship environment friendly, uninterrupted electrical energy provide. He introduced with glee that Nigerians ought to anticipate 11,000 Megawatts (MW) of electrical energy by 2023.
The minister, who made the contemporary promise within the warmth of the rising public outcry in opposition to the deplorable state of the facility sector regardless of its privatisation, drew his power from the settlement he stated the Nigerian Authorities reached with German agency Siemens.
Based on him, below a three-phase deal, the power know-how large will develop Nigeria’s current 3,400 MW of electrical energy to 7,000MW by the top of subsequent 12 months. The part 2 of the mission will then develop the capability to 11,000 MW by the top of 2023, whereas the third part will ship 25,000 MW to Nigerian households and companies.
Inspired by the July 2019 settlement with Siemens to spice up energy provide in Nigeria, the minister stated “The stage is about for the perennial energy downside to grow to be a factor of the previous.” He stated, as an illustration, that Nigeria’s present energy era capability is greater than 13,000 megawatts, however solely a median of three,400 MW reliably attain customers.
Muhammed, nevertheless, assured that primarily based on the settlement with Siemens, the present quantity of energy that reaches electrical energy customers will greater than double by the top of subsequent 12 months. “This may create hundreds of jobs and can leapfrog the nation into the following stage of business and social growth,” he added.
However it’s uncertain if Nigerians are swayed. “The 11, 000 MW by 2023 is, to me, a mere political gimmick,” the Registrar, The Institute of Enterprise Improvement (IBD), Dr. Paul Ikele, charged.
Whereas expressing doubt over the opportunity of reaching the goal, Ikele questioned how Nigeria will obtain 11,000 MW by 2023, which is simply three years from now, when the identical feat couldn’t be achieved seven years after the privatisation of the facility sector.
He additionally stated the minister didn’t articulate concrete plans on how the brand new goal might be met this time. “You’re speaking in regards to the subsequent three years, isn’t it?” he requested, noting that, “It’s good to make permutations, however such must be factual; there must be some indices to point easy methods to attain it.
“Since we’ve not been in a position to obtain it in seven years, what have been the issues? Have we been in a position to clear up them? Have we appeared on the basic points liable for the lingering disaster within the electrical energy provide business with a view to addressing them?”
Ikele and certainly, different involved business stakeholders couldn’t fathom how, regardless of the privatisation, electrical energy era capability nonetheless stands at a paltry 3,400 MW, even after Nigeria had spent N1.Eight trillion on the facility sector since 2015, and has continued to lose a staggering $29 billion to epileptic energy provide yearly.
The Federal Authorities had in November 2013 unbundled the defunct state-owned Energy Holding Firm of Nigeria (PHCN) into 18 successor firms and subsequently handed them over to non-public traders. This was to assist result in environment friendly service supply within the Nigerian Electrical energy Provide Trade (NESI).
The train was anticipated to set the stage for a serious transformation of the facility sector to ensure uninterrupted electrical energy provide to the manufacturing sector and Nigerians typically.
The Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE), which midwifed the privatisation train, projected that the non-public traders who purchased 60 per cent shares within the energy property would improve electrical energy era capability to 20,000 megawatts by 2018, and 40, 000MW by 2020.
It was additionally envisaged that the gross sales would cut back the losses of Combination Technical, Business and Assortment (ATC&C) attributable to poor upkeep of the community and poor income era.
This was why the eleven (11) energy Distribution Firms (DisCos), in a Service Stage Settlement (SLA) with the BPE, agreed to scale back losses considerably inside 5 years. Additionally they promised to roll out meters to make sure that clients are not exploited below the estimated billing system.
On their half, the facility Technology Firms (GenCos) dedicated themselves to turning across the nation’s three hydro energy vegetation and different gas-fired vegetation and develop their capability to generate extra energy provide above 5, 000 MW.
The business regulator, Nigerian Electrical energy Regulatory Fee (NERC), additionally rolled out the interim guidelines and different electrical energy market code to information the non-public operators in doing enterprise in addition to setting Key Efficiency Indicators (KPI) for the brand new core traders.
Sadly, nevertheless, none of those has occurred, seven years after, thereby placing on maintain the collective aspirations of Nigerians to leverage a sturdy energy sector to attain full industrialization, international competitiveness and extra importantly, reboot an financial system severely battered by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Relatively than see any vital enchancment in electrical energy provide, Nigerians have continued to agonise over persistent energy outages, as electrical energy era capability worsened. From over 4,000 MW of electrical energy Nigeria was producing earlier than privatisation in 2013, the capability presently stands at 3,400 MW.
That is thought-about a drop within the ocean by power consultants, contemplating the truth that about 150, 000 MW, in keeping with them, is required to energy Africa’s largest financial system with a inhabitants of 200 million.
Specialists at skilled companies firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC Nigeria) have been emphatic that “Nigeria will solely have the type of energy that can assist full industrialisation when the nation is able to producing no less than 150,000MW of electrical energy.”
PwC’s group of consultants led by Associate and Chief, Energy & Utilities, Mr. Pedro Omontuemhen, stated rule of thumb estimation postulates that roughly 1,000MW serves round one million individuals in a inhabitants.
Nigeria lags behind friends
Whereas Nigeria remains to be struggling to achieve 11,000 MW by 2023, South Africa presently has a complete home electrical energy era capability of 51,309 MW from all power sources, in keeping with its Ministry of Vitality.
The Nation learnt that electrical energy within the Rainbow Nation is especially produced utilizing coal-fired energy stations, with roughly 91.2 per cent, or 46,776 MW coming from thermal energy stations, whereas 4,533 MW, or 8.Eight per cent is generated from renewable power sources.
South Africa’s electrical energy era is dominated by state-owned energy firm Eskom, which presently produces over 96.7 per cent of the facility used within the nation, with a inhabitants of about 59 million.
Ethiopia can be stated to be constructing for export 10,000 MW of hydropower versus 4,700MW by Nigeria’s Nationwide Built-in Energy Challenge (NIPP), whereas the Democratic Republic of Congo is endeavor a 40,000 MW Grand Inga for Africa.
Ghana, with a inhabitants of about 28 million (in regards to the measurement of Lagos), presently has over 4,000MW of put in era capability, although precise availability is round 2,400 MW on account of altering hydrological situations, insufficient gas provides and dilapidated infrastructure.
Nonetheless, with a major endowment of pure fuel and renewable power to generate electrical energy, the Ghanaian authorities are poised to beat these constraints to the nation’s aspiration to industrialize, modernize its agriculture, and supply financial alternatives for its residents.
Why privatisation failed
Why did the privatisation of Nigeria’s energy sector fail woefully when the identical method to driving effectivity in service supply literarily labored magic in different international locations? Why did the train, which promised to supply answer to the nation’s perennial energy disaster, grow to be the issue?
Additionally, why has it been virtually unimaginable to enhance energy supply throughout the era, transmission and distribution worth chain regardless of the sector gulping billions of naira and subjecting electrical energy customers to countless upward evaluate of electrical energy tariff with no commensurate improve in provide?
There have been a number of causes adduced for the perennial disaster within the energy sector. From alleged non-public traders’ lack of technical know-how and monetary capability to run the sector effectively to the problem of fuel provide attributable to vandals and customers’ reluctance to pay their electrical energy payments, the sector has continued to gasp for breath.
The Nation learnt, as an illustration, that other than the funding the Federal Authorities made within the sector previous to the privatisation, the traders haven’t made any vital funding within the progress and growth of the facility sector notably in sensible metering know-how, improve of their networks and different energy infrastructure.
Dependable business sources instructed The Nation that the dearth of funding contributed to the incessant energy outages and the regime of estimated payments that has continued to pitch customers in opposition to the facility corporations.
The actions of vandals who compromise fuel pipelines have additionally been recognized as one other problem. The fuel sub-sector produces the uncooked materials for manufacturing of electrical energy. However as a result of the sub-sector has not been privatised, the availability of fuel to GenCos and by extension, the availability of energy by DisCos stays a ache within the neck.
The Govt Secretary, Affiliation of Energy Technology Firms (APGC), Dr. Pleasure Ogaji, stated scarcity of fuel remained the bane of the facility era sub-sector. She, subsequently, urged the federal government to enhance on the supply of fuel.
She additionally identified that levies, together with the Federal Authorities’s imposition of Worth Added Tax (VAT) of seven.5 per cent on fuel bought to GenCos have been affecting the provision of the product within the sector.
A sector weighed down by money owed
In equity to DisCos, many Nigerians don’t pay for electrical energy consumed. The Affiliation of Nigerian Electrical energy Distributors (ANED) has since been screaming blue homicide over huge income shortfall operating into billions of naira. It, subsequently, urged all energy customers, together with authorities companies to pay up their money owed.
The Affiliation’s Govt Director, Analysis and Advocacy, Sunday Oduntan, has by no means stopped lamenting that the income shortfalls was adversely impacting on the power of its members to make capital funding in metering, community growth, tools rehabilitation and alternative which are important for service supply enchancment.
“It is a money liquidity disaster that threatens to fully undermine the electrical energy worth chain and its means to proceed to serve its customers,” Oduntan stated.
Paying extra for much less?
Whereas Nigerians, notably actual sector operators, are agonizing over the failure of the privatisation train to ensure regular electrical energy provide, alleged arbitrary and startling will increase in tariff and different discomforting developments reminiscent of unwarranted disconnections by DisCos seem to rob salt to damage.
Already, the Minister of Energy, Sale Mamman, has introduced that the proposed electrical energy tariff improve by the Federal Authorities will kick off in July.
The NERC had in January introduced an upward evaluate of electrical energy tariff throughout the nation from April 1, however the train was later suspended in March as a result of COVID-19 pandemic.
Nonetheless, on Tuesday, June 16, the minister, whereas talking on the investigative public listening to on the facility sector restoration plan and the impression on COVID-19 pandemic on the Senate, stated the subsidy incurred with a view to keep the present tariff stage was unsustainable.
Hearken to Mamman: “The impression of the COVID-19 pandemic has additionally affected our laid-out plan for the repositioning of the electrical energy market in direction of monetary sustainability below the facility sector restoration programme (PSRP).
“Initially, the regulator, following the completion of public session on tariff evaluate, deliberate on conducting a tariff evaluate in April 2020. Nonetheless, on account of COVID-19 and buyer apathy, the proposed tariff evaluate was delayed by three months.
“The impression of this implies the subsidy being incurred in sustaining the present tariff stage needed to be maintained till July 2020 when the proposed tariff evaluate might be carried out.
“The present state of affairs within the Nigerian energy sector is that quite a lot of capital funding is being made, most of which depends on donor funding, loans and budgetary allocation. For initiatives that we’ve already secured their funding, we don’t anticipate any opposed impact.”
Oduntan insists that the availability of electrical energy would enhance as quickly as there’s elevated income from the tariffs.
“Whereas I perceive the frustrations of Nigerians that they don’t seem to be getting sufficient provide of electrical energy, it’s pertinent to say that the poor funding of the sector, in latest occasions, triggered the issue. For the sector to be effectively run, the value of electrical energy should improve,” he stated.
To members of the Organised Non-public Sector (OPS), any upward evaluate of electrical energy is just not solely unjustifiable and unacceptable, however tantamount to overkill.
This was why because the NERC launched its March 31 “Order on the Transition to Value Reflective Tariffs within the Nigerian Electrical energy Provide Trade,” which set the tone for the proposed tariff improve subsequent month July, the OPS has been spoiling for conflict.
The OPS, notably producers, in a press release, insisted that an upward evaluate of tariff might be counterproductive on consumption and productiveness, including that any type of improve in tariff within the face of insufficient electrical energy provide, excessive electrical energy tariff and exorbitant value of self-generated electrical energy, will additional spike the price of doing enterprise with consequential upward spiral results on unemployment price.
“Most worrisome is the truth that non-public sector operators, particularly producers bear the burden of economic and technical losses via very excessive month-to-month electrical energy invoice that’s largely estimated,” they stated.
The assertion, which was made obtainable to The Nation, stated non-public operators are already suffering from excessive value working surroundings arising from poor regulatory surroundings, macroeconomic asymmetries and excessive value of power, including that this was liable for the oscillatory efficiency of the sector previously few years.
That’s not all. The non-public operators argued that the trajectory of steady improve in electrical energy tariff with out commensurate enchancment in electrical energy era, transmission and distribution is just not sustainable and would have catastrophic impression on the actual sector.
“The proposed improve in electrical energy tariff is coming additionally at a time that the NESI is pervaded with excessive stage of inefficiency, low funding in strategic electrical energy infrastructure; majority of customers should not metered and the billing system remains to be largely estimated,” they added.
The President, Producers Affiliation of Nigeria (MAN), Mansur Ahmed, stated trendy business competitiveness relies upon to an ideal extent on provision of satisfactory and environment friendly infrastructure particularly electrical energy provide, including that electrical energy is a crucial enter for manufacturing course of to the extent that it constitutes as much as 40 per cent of the price of manufacturing.
As an alternative of considering a rise in electrical energy tariff, the OPS advised that authorities, being a serious stakeholder within the electrical energy business, ought to consider creating processes and polices to draw vital funding to encourage scale era with improved transmission and distribution infrastructure within the business.
Stress for evaluate of privatisation mounts
Apparently pissed off by the disaster within the NESI, members of the OPS stated “Authorities ought to evaluate the privatisation/unbundling of the electrical energy business in the most effective curiosity of the over 200 million Nigerians.”
The United Labour Congress of Nigeria (ULC) has additionally weighed in on the matter, renewing its name for the evaluate of the privatisation. It’s President, Comrade Joe Ajaero, in a press release, stated privatisation has inspired rent-seeking in an financial system that’s already traumatized.
He added that it has additionally crippled the capability of the commandeered utilities to ship companies important for nationwide growth to the lots. “With energy sector privatisation, electrical energy ceased to be social and have become business,” Ajaero stated.
Dr. Ikele additionally described the facility sector privatisation as “a whole failure”.
As issues stand, the Federal Authorities and Nigerians are caught between the rock and the laborious place so far as the disaster within the energy sector is worried.
Reviewing or tinkering with the privatisation, in keeping with consultants, has authorized implications, together with the opportunity of sending a unsuitable sign to present and potential traders.