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How crucial is July in flattening the COVID-19 curve?

Ezekiel O. Kayode

SIR: Now, greater than ever, the federal government should get its selections spot on. Nigeria is now the third African nation with the best variety of coronavirus circumstances, behind South Africa and Egypt —20,000 and counting, and lots of are starting to query if the federal government can successfully handle the scourge.

If March and April had been months when institution of testing centres had been to be scaled up, Might and June ought to have been the months when exams are massively scaled up. As a matter of reality, Nigeria is a far cry from the 2 million exams that Secretary to the Authorities of the Federation, Boss Mustapha, assured by the top of June. That determine at the moment stands at little over 125,000 samples. The issue is that 4 months into the virus, there are nonetheless not sufficient exams to higher management the virus regardless of guarantees from the taskforce to take action. The explanation it is a downside is that our response to the virus is healthier knowledgeable by information from complete testing.

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One different factor now we have learnt of ourselves is the rising negligence of this virus. As days run into weeks and weeks into months, speculations that coronavirus is a sham in Nigeria is rising like wildfire. Since we are able to not belief the federal government to significantly ramp up testing to the promised figures within the subsequent weeks, neither will we anticipate the hypothesis to put on off anytime quickly, what can we anticipate of the virus in July?

Latest information now recommend a wee little bit of consistency within the Covid-19 plot. The each day enhance proportion dropped from 28.8% to 26.6% from June 15 to 18, then elevated to 29.3% on 19 earlier than dropping to 26.2% on June 21. Talks of flattening the curve is starting to frequent within the taskforce each day briefing. However even when we’re starting to take action, it might be of nice knowledge to vote in opposition to shifting to the following section of easing of the lockdown. It was a mistake to transition from section one to section two so fast regardless of the surge in circumstances, which was communicated as a consequence of elevated testing. And Nigerians now anticipate a transition to section three since section one and two spanned a month every.

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Let’s not neglect that lots of people now firmly imagine that there isn’t any coronavirus in Nigeria. However can we belief one another, as Nigerians, to be accountable with our actions ought to restrictions be relaxed additional? Give it some thought, we now realise that we do not need the testing capability, regardless of no matter assurance is given, to maintain up with any spike in new circumstances. It’s also questionable why the Southwest was actively concerned within the easing-of-lockdown plan even after collected information instructed that the area is most ravaged by the virus with about 53% again on Might 1 — that’s 32% greater than the Northwest, which was second with 20%.

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I had thought that Director Common of Nigerian Centre for Illness Management, NCDC, Chikwe Ihekweazu’s phrase that he had slightly be “sluggish and get it proper” than “quick and be sorry” would ring nicely inside the Presidential Process Pressure on Covid-19. If our hopes and prayers for July is a big stage of stability, then we are able to do higher than to worsen group transmission by way of menacing relaxations.


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